Hypothesis
A documented edge: which inefficiency, why it persists, which regimes degrade it.
Trading and spot-hedging strategies, each documented end-to-end and validated through walk-forward and Monte-Carlo analysis on up to nine years of history. Enable the ones you trust, tune the parameters, run them in paper first.
| Code | Strategy | Category | Return | Sharpe | Max DD | Evidence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMA-BAND | EMA-Band BTC HedgeHolds BTC above the daily EMA band, rotates to USDT below it. | Hedging | +24.50%CAGR | 0.83 | -30.00% | Backtest ’22–’26 | |
| TILT | Dynamic BTC/USDT TiltLeans the spot stack toward BTC or USDT with trend and volatility. | Hedging | +11.20%30d | 0.71 | -22.00% | Illustrative | |
| LSR-V2 | Long-Short Reversal v2Mean-reversion against the trend on overextended candles. | Mean reversion | +12.48%30d | 1.84 | -4.62% | Illustrative | |
| VCB | Volatility Compression BreakoutEnters squeezes that break with rising volume. | Breakout | +6.72%30d | 1.42 | -3.10% | Illustrative | |
| TPSE | Trend Pullback Single-ExitBuys pullbacks within established trends, single TP. | Trend follow | +4.91%30d | 2.04 | -2.40% | Illustrative | |
| XS-MOM | Cross-Sectional MomentumRanks a universe and trades the spread, long strong / short weak. | Momentum | +5.60%30d | 1.10 | -6.20% | Illustrative | |
| VBO | Volume BreakoutFades or follows breakouts based on RVOL z-score. | Breakout | +2.84%30d | 0.92 | -5.74% | Illustrative | |
| LSR | Long-Short ReversalOriginal mean-reversion, kept for benchmarking. | Mean reversion | +8.23%30d | 1.18 | -7.20% | Illustrative | |
| TSMOM | Time-Series MomentumCross-asset momentum with monthly rebalance. Kept for benchmarking. | Momentum | -0.31%30d | 0.42 | -3.80% | Illustrative |
No strategy goes live until every gate is green. The same gauntlet runs when you tune one to your own parameters.
A documented edge: which inefficiency, why it persists, which regimes degrade it.
Walk-forward across price, macro, on-chain, and sentiment — slippage and fees modelled in.
Fills, slippage, and trade ordering stressed across thousands of resampled paths.
Live ticks, no real orders, until the paper record agrees with the research.
Small size first; risk caps armed before the first order is placed.
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